Update on the U.S. Senate Race

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A total of 44 Democrats and 50 Republicans were up for reelection, with six toss-up seats available.

Democrats were projected to win one of two Senate seats in play for Minnesota, as well as Washington, California, New Mexico, Hawaii, New York, Virginia, Maine, Vermont, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Delaware and Maryland, according to politics site and polling data aggregator Real Clear Politics.

Polling data shows Democrats were also likely to win in Ohio, Pennsylvania and West Virginia. The other seat for Minnesota, as well as seats for Wisconsin, Michigan and New Jersey, were also leaning Democrat.

The Democrats won in Washington, California, Montana, Michigan, two seats in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Rhode Island, Ohio, West Virginia, Virginia, New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Delaware, New Mexico, Hawaii. They also flipped Nevada. Two independents in Maine and Vermont will caucus with the Democrats, giving them a total of 46 seats, according to Real Clear Politics.

Republicans were projected to win in Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska and one of two seats in play for Mississippi. Republicans were also likely to win the other seat for Mississippi, as well as for North Dakota, while Texas and Tennessee were leaning Republican.

Republicans won in Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, Texas, Tennessee and one of two seats in Mississippi. North Dakota, Indiana, Missouri and Florida, though the Florida Senate race appears to be headed for a recount. The Republicans now hold 51 seats in the Senate, not including Florida.”

Real Clear Politics has not yet called Arizona, and the other seat in Mississippi. Republicans look set to win both.

In total, the Democrats lost three seats. The GOP gained two or three, if Florida is included, maintaining control of the Senate. Even in the unlikely event that the Democrats win the seats in Arizona and Mississippi, and win a possible recount in Florida, the Republicans will still keep control of the Senate.


RUNDOWN SHOWS:
1. States in which the Democrats won
2. States in which the Republicans won
3. States where the race hasn’t been called yet
4. Democrats lost three seats while the Republicans gained three seats

SOURCES: New York Times, 270 to win, Real Clear Politics,
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-senate-elections.html
https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/live_results/2018/senate/

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